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Publications & Studies

Our testing methodologies are backed by peer-reviewed research — much of it authored by our own scientific leadership.

Eight papers published in 2025 examine the same clinical question: does PCR-based diagnosis of complicated UTI outperform conventional culture and sensitivity testing? Five draw on the multicenter randomized trial NCT06996301.

The randomized trial

The core evidence base — a multicenter, randomized, investigator-blinded trial (NCT06996301) and its secondary analyses.

  • Why PCR Improves Outcomes: Faster Antibiotics, Better Choices

    Diagnostics · 2025

    How PCR-guided management changes clinical symptom resolution in complicated UTI, and what mediates the benefit.

    The strongest patient-outcome paper in the set. It doesn't just show PCR works — it shows why: roughly three-quarters of the benefit comes from starting the right antibiotic sooner.

    Key findings

    • Median time to first antibiotic: 20 h (IQR 12–36) vs. 52 h (IQR 30–66), p < 0.001
    • Appropriate antibiotic chosen: 83.4% (161/193) vs. 62.1% (105/169), p < 0.001
    • Complete clinical cure: 74.1% (143/193) vs. 62.7% (106/169), p = 0.020
    • Partial cure (≥50% symptom reduction): 83.4% vs. 71.6%, p = 0.014
    • Adjusted odds ratio for cure 1.95 (95% CI 1.12–3.39, p = 0.018)
    • Approximately 74% of the benefit mediated through faster antibiotics and better initial choice
    Authors
    Priestly, I.P.; Chavez, R.; Derrick, D.; Huard, T.K.
    Trial
    NCT06996301 · 362 participants (PCR n = 193, culture n = 169)
    Full citation

    Priestly, I.P.; Chavez, R.; Derrick, D.; Huard, T.K. Clinical Symptom Resolution Following PCR-Guided vs. Culture and Susceptibility-Guided Management of Complicated UTI: How Time-To-Antibiotic Start and Antibiotic Appropriateness Mediate the Benefit of Multiplex PCR—An Ad Hoc Analysis of NCT06996301. Diagnostics 2025, 15(24), 3107.

    Read the paper 10.3390/diagnostics15243107
  • Predicting Antibiotic Resistance from PCR: Genotype–Phenotype Concordance

    Diagnostics · 2025

    Whether resistance genes detected by PCR reliably predict actual phenotypic resistance, and what that means for stewardship.

    Establishes the scientific basis for acting on a PCR resistance result before susceptibility testing comes back.

    Key findings

    • blaCTX-M in E. coli: sensitivity 0.94 (95% CI 0.88–0.97), specificity 0.995 (95% CI 0.990–0.998), κ ≈ 0.93
    • Median time to antibiotic: 20 h (PCR) vs. 52 h (culture)
    • Treatment success: 88.1% vs. 78.1% — adjusted odds ratio 1.95 (95% CI 1.12–3.40, p = 0.018)
    • 63% of the treatment-success benefit was mediated by earlier antibiotic initiation
    • ROC AUC 0.62–0.81 for ΔCt predicting non-susceptibility
    Authors
    Priestly, I.P.; Chavez, R.; Derrick, D.; Huard, T.K.
    Trial
    NCT06996301 · PCR arm n = 193, culture arm n = 169
    Full citation

    Priestly, I.P.; Chavez, R.; Derrick, D.; Huard, T.K. Genotype–Phenotype Concordance and Ct-Informed Predictive Rules for Antimicrobial Resistance in Adult Patients with Complicated Urinary Tract Infections: Clinical and Stewardship Implications from the NCT06996301 Trial. Diagnostics 2025, 15(23), 2945.

    Read the paper 10.3390/diagnostics15232945
  • Reading Bacterial Load from PCR: ΔCt Thresholds and Specimen Handling

    Diagnostics · 2025

    Whether PCR signal tracks bacterial load, and what actually explains PCR-positive / culture-negative discordance.

    Answers the most common objection to PCR — that it detects dead DNA. Most discordance turns out to be explained by specimen handling delay, not false positives.

    Key findings

    • PCR positivity 82–88% vs. culture 66–70% across all six sites
    • ΔCt correlated strongly with bacterial load (Spearman ρ −0.64 to −0.75; Pearson r −0.75 to −0.83)
    • Each 1-unit ΔCt change ≈ a 5.6–8.4-fold difference in CFU
    • ROC AUC 0.78–0.84 for discriminating high bacterial load
    • Processing delay cost ~0.048 log₁₀CFU per hour — time-dependent viability loss drives the discordance
    • Collection method (catheter vs. clean-catch) did not materially affect the relationship
    Authors
    Priestly, I.P.; Chavez, R.; Derrick, D.; Huard, T.K.
    Trial
    NCT06996301 · 1,027 paired specimens across 6 sites
    Full citation

    Priestly, I.P.; Chavez, R.; Derrick, D.; Huard, T.K. Semi-Quantitative ΔCt Thresholds for Bacteriuria and Pre-Analytic Drivers of PCR-Culture Discordance in Complicated UTI: An Analysis of NCT06996301. Diagnostics 2025, 15(23), 2959.

    Read the paper 10.3390/diagnostics15232959
  • What Culture Misses: Polymicrobial Infection, Resistance, and Treatment Failure

    Microorganisms · 2025

    A secondary analysis of pathogen detection, resistance profiles, and their impact on clinical outcomes.

    The clearest evidence that culture's blind spots have real consequences for patients. When culture missed a polymicrobial infection, treatment failed half again as often.

    Key findings

    • PCR identified polymicrobial infection in 43.52% of cases vs. 31.95% for culture (p = 0.033)
    • Missed polymicrobial infection → clinical failure in 33.33% (14/42) vs. 22.22% (12/54) when both methods agreed (p = 0.041)
    • PCR found additional pathogens in 54.44% (92/169) of culture-arm cases; failure 28.26% vs. 14.29% when culture missed pathogens (p = 0.015)
    • When culture missed phenotypic resistance, failure hit 50% (16/42) vs. 13.22% (21/121) when both agreed (p = 0.001)
    Authors
    Kardjadj, M.; Chang, T.W.; Chavez, R.; Derrick, D.; Spangler, F.L.; Priestly, I.P.; Park, L.Y.; Huard, T.K.
    Design
    Multicenter, randomized, investigator-blinded
    Full citation

    Kardjadj, M.; Chang, T.W.; Chavez, R.; Derrick, D.; Spangler, F.L.; Priestly, I.P.; Park, L.Y.; Huard, T.K. The clinical validity and utility of PCR compared to conventional culture and sensitivity testing for the management of complicated urinary tract infections in adults: A secondary (ad hoc) analysis of pathogen detection, resistance profiles, and impact on clinical outcomes. Microorganisms 2025, 13(4), 949.

    Read the paper 10.3390/microorganisms13040949

The two-part clinical series

Published back-to-back in Diagnostic Microbiology and Infectious Disease. Part I covers outcomes and turnaround; Part II covers diagnostic agreement and antibiotic choice.

  • PCR vs. Culture in Complicated UTI — Part I: Clinical Outcomes and Turnaround Time

    Diagnostic Microbiology and Infectious Disease · 2025

    Clinical outcomes, investigator satisfaction scores, and turnaround times when PCR replaces conventional culture and sensitivity testing for complicated UTI in adults.

    Authors
    Spangler, F.L.; Williams, C.; Aberger, M.E.; Wilson, B.A.; Ajib, K.; Gholami, S.S.; Goodwin, H.N.; Park, L.Y.; Kardjadj, M.; Derrick, D.; et al.
    Full citation

    Spangler, F.L.; Williams, C.; Aberger, M.E.; Wilson, B.A.; Ajib, K.; Gholami, S.S.; Goodwin, H.N.; Park, L.Y.; Kardjadj, M.; Derrick, D.; et al. Clinical utility of PCR compared to conventional culture and sensitivity testing for the management of complicated urinary tract infections in adults: Part I: Assessment of clinical outcomes, investigator satisfaction scores, and turnaround times. Diagn. Microbiol. Infect. Dis. 2025, 111, 116601.

    Read the paper PMID 39532029
  • PCR vs. Culture in Complicated UTI — Part II: Diagnostic Concordance and Antibiotic Selection

    Diagnostic Microbiology and Infectious Disease · 2025

    How often PCR and culture agree, what drives the cases where they disagree, and whether PCR leads to better antimicrobial selection.

    Authors
    Spangler, F.L.; Williams, C.; Aberger, M.E.; Wilson, B.A.; Ajib, K.; Gholami, S.S.; Goodwin, H.N.; Park, L.Y.; Kardjadj, M.; Derrick, D.; et al.
    Full citation

    Spangler, F.L.; Williams, C.; Aberger, M.E.; Wilson, B.A.; Ajib, K.; Gholami, S.S.; Goodwin, H.N.; Park, L.Y.; Kardjadj, M.; Derrick, D.; et al. Clinical utility of PCR compared to conventional culture and sensitivity testing for management of complicated urinary tract infections in adults: Part II: Evaluation of diagnostic concordance, discordant results, and antimicrobial selection efficacy. Diagn. Microbiol. Infect. Dis. 2025, 111, 116646.

    Read the paper PMID 39671979

Reviews and commentary

Broader syntheses, including the paper addressing MolDX coverage criteria directly — the most useful one for practices in restricted states.

  • PCR vs. Culture for Complicated UTI: Evidence Review and MolDX Coverage Criteria

    Reviews in Urology · 2025

    A synthesis of real-world evidence, clinical trials, and meta-analyses examined specifically against Molecular Diagnostic Services (MolDX) program coverage criteria.

    The most directly useful paper for practices in MolDX-restricted states, and the natural citation for our MolDX guidance work.

    Authors
    Aberger, M.E.; Wilson, B.A.; Chavez, R.
    Full citation

    Aberger, M.E.; Wilson, B.A.; Chavez, R. Evaluating the analytical validity and clinical utility and validity of polymerase chain reaction diagnostics vs culture and sensitivity methods in complicated urinary tract infection management: A comprehensive review of real-world evidence, clinical trials, and meta-analyses concerning molecular diagnostic services program coverage criteria. Rev. Urol. 2025, 24, 1–11.

    Read the paper reviewsinurology.com
  • PCR in Complicated UTI: A Paradigm Shift in Diagnostics and Management

    JU Open Plus · 2025

    A commentary framing the shift from culture-based to molecular diagnosis in complicated UTI, published in the AUA's open-access journal.

    Authors
    Kardjadj, M.
    Full citation

    Kardjadj, M. Clinical Utility of PCR in Complicated Urinary Tract Infections: A Paradigm Shift in Diagnostics and Management. JU Open Plus 2025, 3, e00114.

    Read the paper 10.1097/JU9.0000000000000353

The science

Questions About Our Research?

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